Public research collection
Reports, essays and methods for India's passenger-vehicle market. Read online freely, or download after sharing your name and email—no login, price or entitlement gate.
Core editions
Completed-month reviews, a deliberately provisional pulse, and a living fiscal-year outlook.
Autiqa Vault · Monthly Review
Completed-month performance, contribution engines and the three-month watchlist
Complete: July passed the N−8 completeness gate.
July recorded 4,16,647 passenger-vehicle registrations, +20.9% year on year. The report traces the change through states, OEMs and fuels, flags unusual movements, and frames the outlook as a set of conditional paths.
Autiqa Vault · Provisional Pulse
Provisional coverage, partial observations and a deliberately bounded nowcast
Partial: Calendar elapsed only; the statistical completeness gate has not passed.
August remains incomplete. This Pulse makes the evidence boundary visible: it reports coverage, separates partial observations from complete-month history, and publishes a nowcast without manufacturing false precision.
Autiqa Vault · Living Outlook
Living outlook: actuals, transition pathways and conditional scenarios through March 2027
Living: Four of twelve fiscal months are complete; August is separately provisional.
Actual registrations through July total 16,71,749. The current base path implies 51,22,523 registrations for FY26–27, but the decision object is the scenario field and its concentration risks—not the point estimate.
Companion research
Arguments worth carrying into the next decision, plus the framework behind the analysis.
Autiqa Vault · Essay
Why national growth hides India's different state-level vehicle markets
India's passenger-vehicle market is not one system scaled down across states. It is an interacting portfolio of infrastructures, incomes, policies, fuel networks and OEM positions.
Autiqa Vault · Essay
What partial vehicle-registration data can and cannot reveal
Partial data are useful when they are treated as an evolving evidence state. They become dangerous when a precise number disguises an incomplete process.
Autiqa Vault · Essay
Decision-making under uncertainty and path dependence in India's vehicle market
The most useful forecast is not the line that later wins a beauty contest. It is the field of plausible paths that makes current decisions more robust.
Autiqa Vault · Methods White Paper
A Complexity-Aware Framework for India's Passenger-Vehicle Market
A practical framework for analysing a market as an adaptive system: bounded evidence, decomposed contribution, structural diversity, dependency networks, anomaly discipline and backtested forecast ensembles.
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